Olimpia Milano
Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 20 seasons covered
Also listed in our corpus as AX Armani Exchange Milan, AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan, EA7 Emporio Armani Milan, EA7 Emporio Armani, Armani Jeans Milano, AJ Milano. Euroleague team names carry the title sponsor of the season, so this page keeps one stable address for the team itself.
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.
Season simulation
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Missed the playoffs 17W–21L regular season
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
How predictable is Olimpia Milano?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted games season backtest
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, Olimpia Milano was 3.9% easier to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | Euroleague avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 season backtest | 32 | 71.9% | 67.0% | 75.0% (league 75.8%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 Olimpia Milano won 2 games as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 1 as a clear favourite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 as EA7 Emporio Armani Milan | 38 | #17 | +31 | +44 | -79 |
| 2024-25 | 34 | #13 | -19 | +86 | -50 |
| 2023-24 | 34 | #10 | -10 | +26 | -10 |
| 2022-23 | 34 | #9 | +27 | +44 | +4 |
| 2021-22 as AX Armani Exchange Milan | 36 | #11 | +17 | +115 | -2 |
| 2020-21 | 41 | #4 | +14 | +119 | +116 |
| 2019-20 | 28 | #14 | -19 | +73 | -98 |
| 2018-19 as AX Armani Exchange Olimpia Milan | 30 | #10 | +32 | +63 | -42 |
| 2017-18 | 30 | #13 | -16 | -16 | -89 |
| 2016-17 as EA7 Emporio Armani Milan | 30 | #16 | +8 | +17 | -210 |
| 2015-16 | 10 | #22 | +8 | +8 | -92 |
| 2014-15 | 24 | #16 | -10 | -8 | -62 |
| 2013-14 | 28 | #6 | -22 | +169 | +95 |
| 2012-13 | 10 | #17 | +13 | +43 | -54 |
| 2011-12 as EA7 Emporio Armani | 16 | #10 | +15 | +21 | +21 |
| 2010-11 as Armani Jeans Milano | 10 | #19 | +36 | +36 | -41 |
| 2009-10 | 10 | #16 | -29 | +6 | -50 |
| 2008-09 as AJ Milano | 16 | #17 | -24 | +30 | -83 |
| 2007-08 | 14 | #22 | -27 | -27 | -132 |
| 2005-06 | 14 | #16 | -23 | +2 | -44 |
GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shavon Shields | PF | 29 | 9.8 |
| Quinn Ellis | PG | 29 | 3.6 |
| Devin Booker | C | 19 | 1.1 |
| Zach Leday | SF | 27 | 0.5 |
Every Olimpia Milano player with a predictability profile: started games only, 15-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points, rebounds and PIR against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | at Olympiacos Piraeus | L Olimpia Milano 18.6% | L 76-85 ✓ |
| Apr 09, 2026 | vs FC Bayern Munich | W Olimpia Milano 67.0% | L 84-94 ✗ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | at Valencia Basket | L Olimpia Milano 32.7% | L 96-102 ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | at Paris Basketball | L Olimpia Milano 40.5% | L 93-103 ✓ |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs Virtus Bologna | W Olimpia Milano 72.7% | W 103-87 ✓ |
| Mar 24, 2026 | at AS Monaco | L Olimpia Milano 27.6% | L 85-90 ✓ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | at Fenerbahce Istanbul | L Olimpia Milano 37.2% | L 75-79 ✓ |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vs Maccabi Tel Aviv | W Olimpia Milano 61.8% | W 96-87 ✓ |
| Mar 05, 2026 | vs FC Barcelona | W Olimpia Milano 62.7% | W 87-84 ✓ |
| Feb 26, 2026 | at Hapoel Tel Aviv | L Olimpia Milano 38.8% | L 86-92 ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/olimpia-milano">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/olimpia-milano">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>