Valencia Basket

Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 10 seasons covered

ELO +54 · #6 2026-27 5W-2L · 7 games In line Peak ELO +147 · 2025-26 Updated Oct 23, 2026

Also listed in our corpus as Power Electronics Valencia, Pamesa Valencia. Euroleague team names carry the title sponsor of the season, so this page keeps one stable address for the team itself.

Season ELO trajectory

Season Compare with

One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.

Season simulation

2026-27 season simulation

Title odds: 12.3% 25.6 projected wins · currently 5W-2L · as of 2026-10-26

Play-in 15.2%

Playoffs 96.4%

Final Four 57.5%

Final 27.9%

Euroleague champion 12.3%

Probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule (single table, play-in, best-of-five quarter-finals and the neutral-venue Final Four), refreshed daily in season.

Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →

How predictable is Valencia Basket?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 38 predicted games season backtest

We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, Valencia Basket was 4.5% harder to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.

Season	Games	Winner acc	Euroleague avg	Confident calls (≥65%)
2026-27	1	0.0%	50.0%	-
2025-26 season backtest	38	57.9%	67.0%	77.8% (league 75.8%)

Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 Valencia Basket won 1 game as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 3 as a clear favourite (65% or more).

Season by season

Season	GP	Pos	Start	Peak	End
2026-27	7	#6	+14	+78	+54
2025-26	44	#3	+18	+147	+120
2023-24	34	#17	+13	+71	-134
2022-23	34	#13	-31	+22	-79
2020-21	34	#8	+8	+64	+44
2019-20	28	#11	-43	+43	-45
2017-18	30	#11	-13	+55	-59
2014-15	10	#18	-18	-18	-33
2010-11 as Power Electronics Valencia	21	#9	-37	+50	+31
2003-04 as Pamesa Valencia	20	#8	+23	+82	+80

GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.

Recent games: model vs reality

Date	Opponent	Model said	Result
Oct 23, 2026	at Paris Basketball	L Valencia Basket 45.2%	W 104-93 ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/valencia-basket">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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