Valencia Basket
Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 9 seasons covered
Also listed in our corpus as Power Electronics Valencia, Pamesa Valencia. Euroleague team names carry the title sponsor of the season, so this page keeps one stable address for the team itself.
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.
Season simulation
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Reached: Final Four 25W–13L regular season
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
How predictable is Valencia Basket?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 38 predicted games season backtest
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, Valencia Basket was 4.5% harder to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | Euroleague avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 season backtest | 38 | 57.9% | 67.0% | 77.8% (league 75.8%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 Valencia Basket won 1 game as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 3 as a clear favourite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 44 | #3 | +18 | +147 | +120 |
| 2023-24 | 34 | #17 | +13 | +71 | -134 |
| 2022-23 | 34 | #13 | -31 | +22 | -79 |
| 2020-21 | 34 | #8 | +8 | +64 | +44 |
| 2019-20 | 28 | #11 | -43 | +43 | -45 |
| 2017-18 | 30 | #11 | -13 | +55 | -59 |
| 2014-15 | 10 | #18 | -18 | -18 | -33 |
| 2010-11 as Power Electronics Valencia | 21 | #9 | -37 | +50 | +31 |
| 2003-04 as Pamesa Valencia | 20 | #8 | +23 | +82 | +80 |
GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brancou Badio | PG | 22 | 4.4 |
| Darius Thompson | SG | 18 | 4.2 |
| Jaime Pradilla | C | 29 | 3.6 |
| Kameron Taylor | SF | 29 | 2.4 |
| Nathan Reuvers | PF | 16 | 1.1 |
| Jean Montero | SG | 20 | -0.2 |
| Neal Sako | PF | 22 | -4.0 |
Every Valencia Basket player with a predictability profile: started games only, 15-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points, rebounds and PIR against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | vs Real Madrid | W Valencia Basket 53.0% | L 90-105 ✗ |
| May 13, 2026 | vs Panathinaikos Athens | W Valencia Basket 73.0% | W 81-64 ✓ |
| May 08, 2026 | at Panathinaikos Athens | L Valencia Basket 43.9% | W 89-86 ✗ |
| May 06, 2026 | at Panathinaikos Athens | L Valencia Basket 41.5% | W 91-87 ✗ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | vs Panathinaikos Athens | W Valencia Basket 70.0% | L 105-107 ✗ |
| Apr 28, 2026 | vs Panathinaikos Athens | W Valencia Basket 66.3% | L 67-68 ✗ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | at Dubai Basketball | L Valencia Basket 38.7% | W 95-85 ✗ |
| Apr 09, 2026 | vs Panathinaikos Athens | W Valencia Basket 65.2% | W 102-84 ✓ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | vs Olimpia Milano | W Valencia Basket 67.3% | W 102-96 ✓ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Virtus Bologna | L Valencia Basket 44.9% | W 94-81 ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Euroleague team ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/valencia-basket">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)
Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/valencia-basket">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>
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