Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Southampton Prediction

Leicester

Home Team
54%
VS

Southampton

Away Team
23%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 34 18 6 10 53 41 12 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 34 14 7 13 58 50 8 49
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Leicester ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)

Southampton ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.58
# Clean Sheets: 0

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Leicester City is favored to win their upcoming match against Southampton, with a 54.0% probability of securing a home victory. The likelihood of a Southampton win stands at 23.0%, while a draw is slightly more probable at 24.0%. As both teams occupy the bottom two spots in the Premier League standings, Leicester sits at 19th place, and Southampton is at the very bottom in 20th. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 55.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Leicester has been struggling significantly, losing two out of their last three matches and managing only a single draw against Brighton. They have failed to score in two of these three games, indicating a concerning lack of firepower up front. Their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded six goals over the same period. On the other hand, Southampton's recent form isn't much better, as they have also endured two losses and one draw. Their defense has been leaky, allowing six goals in three matches, while their attack has found the net only twice. When analyzing advanced metrics, Leicester's ability to score has been notably absent, with an average of 0.0 goals in their past five games and a slightly better expected goals average of 0.568. They have also been porous at the back, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. Southampton, meanwhile, has shown a marginally better attacking output with an average of 1.0 goals scored but is still conceding heavily with an average of 2.4 goals per game. Neither team has managed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that could make this an open contest.

Final Prediction

Leicester's edge in this matchup primarily stems from their home advantage and slightly better positioning in the league standings. Despite their struggles, they are predicted to capitalize on Southampton's defensive issues. A key factor to watch will be whether Leicester can break their recent scoring drought; if they can, it might give them the necessary edge to secure a much-needed victory.