Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Southampton Prediction

Leicester

Home Team
54%
VS

Southampton

Away Team
23%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Leicester ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)

Southampton ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.58
# Clean Sheets: 0

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leicester and Southampton is predicted to favor the home team, Leicester, with a 54.0% probability of winning. The probability of Southampton claiming victory stands at 23.0%, while a draw is slightly more likely at 24.0%. The match is expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 55.0%. Currently, Leicester is languishing at 19th place in the Premier League standings, while Southampton sits at the bottom, placed 20th.

Match Analysis

Leicester's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a draw against Brighton following back-to-back losses to Wolves and Liverpool. Despite showing some resilience against Brighton with a 2-2 draw, they have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, scoring no goals in their two subsequent losses. Their defense has also been porous, conceding an average of 2.6 goals over their last five matches, a worrying trend for the Foxes. Southampton, meanwhile, have shown a similar struggle in their recent outings. They come into this match on the back of a loss to Fulham and a heavy defeat against Aston Villa, interspersed with a draw against West Ham. Like Leicester, Southampton's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.4 goals in their last five games. While they have managed to score an average of one goal per match recently, their inability to keep clean sheets remains a significant concern.

Final Prediction

Leicester holds an edge in this fixture primarily due to their home advantage and slightly better probability of winning. Their recent draw against Brighton suggests potential for an improved performance. A key factor to watch in this game will be Leicester's ability to tighten their defensive line while seeking to exploit Southampton's defensive vulnerabilities. Fans can anticipate an engaging contest with goals likely on both ends.