Serie B 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

49.7%
Final Result Accuracy
54.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.7%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
79.7%
Double Chance Accuracy
October 19, 2025
Catanzaro vs Padova
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.7% (Catanzaro)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 25.6% (Padova)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 19, 2025
Empoli vs Venezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.2% (Empoli)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 37.5% (Venezia)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 19, 2025
Palermo vs Modena
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.9% (Palermo)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 26.0% (Modena)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.3%
Under: 56.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Reggiana vs Bari
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Reggiana)
Draw: 32.2%
Away Win: 30.0% (Bari)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Mantova vs Sudtirol
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Mantova)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.8% (Sudtirol)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.2%
Under: 45.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.9%
No Goal: 40.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Pescara vs Carrarese
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.2% (Pescara)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 41.8% (Carrarese)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.1%
Under: 51.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Frosinone vs Monza
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Frosinone)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.4% (Monza)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Juve Stabia vs Avellino
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.8% (Juve Stabia)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 22.1% (Avellino)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Spezia vs Cesena
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.6% (Spezia)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 30.2% (Cesena)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.0%
Under: 57.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 17, 2025
Virtus Entella vs Sampdoria
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.7% (Virtus Entella)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 32.0% (Sampdoria)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 05, 2025
Modena vs Virtus Entella
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.7% (Modena)
Draw: 25.5%
Away Win: 18.7% (Virtus Entella)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 05, 2025
Sampdoria vs Pescara
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.7% (Sampdoria)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 26.0% (Pescara)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 05, 2025
Sudtirol vs Empoli
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.9% (Sudtirol)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 28.3% (Empoli)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 05, 2025
Carrarese vs Juve Stabia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.8% (Carrarese)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 28.4% (Juve Stabia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.1%
Under: 57.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Venezia vs Frosinone
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.6% (Venezia)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 27.6% (Frosinone)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.9%
No Goal: 44.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Avellino vs Mantova
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.7% (Avellino)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 28.6% (Mantova)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.2%
Under: 56.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Monza vs Catanzaro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (Monza)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 27.6% (Catanzaro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.4%
Under: 59.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Bari vs Padova
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.0% (Bari)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 32.4% (Padova)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.1%
No Goal: 51.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Spezia vs Palermo
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Spezia)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 34.1% (Palermo)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.2%
Under: 60.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 42.5%
No Goal: 57.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Cesena vs Reggiana
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.8% (Cesena)
Draw: 26.9%
Away Win: 19.3% (Reggiana)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 01, 2025
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Sampdoria)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.0% (Catanzaro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.6%
Under: 59.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.4%
No Goal: 55.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 01, 2025
Pescara vs Sudtirol
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.0% (Pescara)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 40.3% (Sudtirol)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.7%
No Goal: 41.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 01, 2025
Empoli vs Monza
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Empoli)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 33.2% (Monza)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 01, 2025
Carrarese vs Modena
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.0% (Carrarese)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 32.8% (Modena)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.6%
Under: 59.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 30, 2025
Virtus Entella vs Bari
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.3% (Virtus Entella)
Draw: 24.5%
Away Win: 16.2% (Bari)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Reggiana vs Spezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.0% (Reggiana)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 35.5% (Spezia)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Palermo vs Venezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.3% (Palermo)
Draw: 27.6%
Away Win: 20.1% (Venezia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 30, 2025
Padova vs Avellino
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.5% (Padova)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 23.6% (Avellino)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Juve Stabia vs Mantova
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.6% (Juve Stabia)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 20.4% (Mantova)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Frosinone vs Cesena
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.7% (Frosinone)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 29.7% (Cesena)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.2%
No Goal: 42.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal