Adam Walton

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1527 · #173 Hard #168 Clay #93 Grass #598 Last match: Oct 19, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

50-68 42.4% in 118 matches

Clay 4-6
Grass 8-12
Hard 38-50

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 40 17-23 1573 1691 1527
2025 47 21-26 1564 1680 1532
2024 28 11-17 1535 1569 1461
2023 3 1-2 1510 1554 1499

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 19, 2026 Almaty · Hard Nikoloz Basilashvili L 0-2
Beibit Zhukayev W 2-0
Oct 07, 2026 Shanghai · Hard Rigele Te L 1-2
Sep 23, 2026 Hangzhou · Hard Valentin Royer L 0-2
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Yibing Wu L 0-3
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard Ignacio Buse L 1-2
Jesper de Jong W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Jaime Faria L 1-2
Ignacio Buse W 2-0
Nicolas Mejia W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Adam Walton?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.5 actual vs 6.4 projected
3.13 our average miss per match
3.98 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+21% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 27 of the 32 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Adam Walton follow the script?

Wild card · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 27 9-18 48.1% 14 vs 10.2 exp Wild card
2025 32 13-19 75.0% 8 vs 12.4 exp Straight sets

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Adam Walton's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/adam-walton">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)