Mariano Navone

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1741 · #40 Hard #67 Clay #37 Grass #143 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

65-75 46.4% in 140 matches

Clay 49-33
Grass 2-8
Hard 14-34

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 44 23-21 1576 1798 1741
2025 47 21-26 1615 1740 1533
2024 45 21-24 1552 1725 1505
2023 4 0-4 1522 1505 1399

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Tomas Martin Etcheverry L 0-3
Matteo Berrettini W 3-1
Novak Djokovic W 3-2
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard James Duckworth L 0-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Alexander Blockx L 0-2
Raphael Collignon W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Arthur Fils L 0-2
Valentin Vacherot W 2-1
Matteo Berrettini W 2-1
Jul 20, 2026 Kitzbuhel · Clay Quentin Halys L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Mariano Navone?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.6 actual vs 3.2 projected
1.65 our average miss per match
1.63 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-1% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 35 of the 40 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Mariano Navone follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 44 23-21 59.1% 18 vs 17.6 exp On serve
2025 40 17-23 57.5% 17 vs 16.2 exp On serve
2024 bt 40 17-23 52.5% 19 vs 14.6 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Mariano Navone's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/mariano-navone">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)