Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Adam Walton

Rank: #88
25%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #14
75%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Ranking Trends

Adam Walton

  • Current Rank: #88 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #88 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #88 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #90 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #95 (2024-08-12)

Daniil Medvedev

  • Current Rank: #14 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #11 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #7 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #4 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #5 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Adam Walton

Form Index: 49.3
ELO Rating: 709.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 159.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.7

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 46.0
ELO Rating: 3321.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2107.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.0
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 41.0
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Adam Walton
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-1) hard Toronto 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) hard Los Cabos 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-1) hard Los Cabos 120 min

Daniil Medvedev
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) hard Toronto 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Toronto 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) hard Washington 145 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Yibing Wu (2-0) hard Washington 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-1) hard Washington 120 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adam Walton
vs
0
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, Daniil Medvedev is set to face Adam Walton on hard courts in Ohio. With a predicted win probability of 74.72% for Medvedev compared to 25.28% for Walton, the matchup is heavily favored towards the experienced Russian. The anticipated total number of games played is forecasted to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, ranked 14th, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 3321 compared to Walton's 709. Walton, currently ranked 88th, has a form index of 49.32, while Medvedev's is slightly lower at 46.04. Notably, Medvedev has no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, while Walton's fatigue stands at 159 minutes, which could impact his performance. Medvedev's surface strength index of 31.97 indicates a strong capability on hard courts, greatly overshadowing Walton's index of 6.77. Medvedev's mean serve index (95.27) is also superior to Walton’s (97.14), but Walton's return index (86.74) is relatively close to Medvedev’s (87.79), indicating a potential area of competitiveness. Recent performances reveal mixed results for both players. Walton secured a win against Mariano Navone in the Cincinnati tournament but suffered a loss to Alexander Zverev in Toronto, with a prior victory over Benjamin Bonzi. In contrast, Medvedev's last match resulted in a loss to Alexei Popyrin; however, he did win against Dalibor Svrcina in the preceding match. Both players have faced tough competition recently, but Medvedev's overall experience and ranking give him an advantage.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's higher rank, superior Elo rating, and lack of fatigue position him favorably against Adam Walton in this matchup. A critical factor to watch will be Walton's ability to execute his return game effectively, as this could dictate the pace and flow of the match.