Alexei Popyrin

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1608 · #96 Hard #110 Clay #45 Grass #589 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

157-171 47.9% in 328 matches

Clay 44-38
Grass 15-22
Hard 98-111

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 32 12-20 1600 1643 1608
2025 38 16-22 1684 1785 1677
2024 46 26-20 1608 1973 1887
2023 49 26-23 1547 1751 1652
2022 26 6-20 1600 1560 1445
2021 47 24-23 1563 1753 1706
2020 17 7-10 1558 1631 1544
2019 61 34-27 1537 1735 1709
2018 11 6-5 1504 1591 1587
2017 1 0-1 1500 1492 1492

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Alejandro Tabilo L 1-3
Grigor Dimitrov W 3-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Titouan Droguet L 0-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Thiago Agustin Tirante L 0-2
Raphael Collignon W 2-0
Roman Andres Burruchaga W 2-1
Thanasi Kokkinakis W 1-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Jiri Lehecka L 0-3
Jun 22, 2026 Eastbourne · Grass Jan Choinski L 1-2
Jun 15, 2026 Halle · Grass Raphael Collignon L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Alexei Popyrin?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 8.8 actual vs 7.9 projected
3.70 our average miss per match
4.45 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+17% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 33 of the 38 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Alexei Popyrin follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 30 11-19 66.7% 10 vs 10.6 exp On serve
2025 38 16-22 60.5% 15 vs 15.3 exp On serve
2024 bt 44 24-20 54.5% 20 vs 16.3 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Alexei Popyrin's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/alexei-popyrin">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)