Daniil Medvedev
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
414-172 70.6% in 586 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 63 | 45-18 | 1771 | 2052 | 1932 |
| 2025 | 62 | 40-22 | 2003 | 2008 | 1854 |
| 2024 | 59 | 43-16 | 2260 | 2310 | 1999 |
| 2023 | 76 | 61-15 | 1906 | 2147 | 2010 |
| 2022 | 57 | 42-15 | 2364 | 2406 | 1979 |
| 2021 | 57 | 46-11 | 2347 | 2393 | 2228 |
| 2020 | 26 | 18-8 | 2070 | 2089 | 2031 |
| 2019 | 68 | 50-18 | 1704 | 2180 | 2129 |
| 2018 | 61 | 40-21 | 1577 | 1977 | 1941 |
| 2017 | 39 | 18-21 | 1561 | 1714 | 1558 |
| 2016 | 13 | 8-5 | 1514 | 1622 | 1544 |
| 2015 | 5 | 3-2 | 1500 | 1531 | 1514 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 07, 2026 | Shanghai · Hard | Rafael Jodar | L 0-2 |
| Tommy Paul | W 2-1 | ||
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 2-0 | ||
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 2-0 | ||
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 2-1 | ||
| Sep 30, 2026 | Beijing · Hard | Novak Djokovic | L 0-1 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 2-0 | ||
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 2-0 | ||
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 2-0 | ||
| Sep 23, 2026 | Hangzhou · Hard | Andrey Rublev | W 2-0 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Daniil Medvedev?
Comparison covers 57 of the 62 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Daniil Medvedev follow the script?
On serve · 2026| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 63 | 45-18 | 73.0% | 17 vs 17.1 exp | On serve |
| 2025 | 62 | 40-22 | 61.3% | 24 vs 21.8 exp | On serve |
| 2024 bt | 59 | 43-16 | 83.1% | 10 vs 15.2 exp | Straight sets |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Daniil Medvedev's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/daniil-medvedev">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)