Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Rank: #155
40%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #76
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Kovacevic

Player Metrics

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Form Index: 59.9
ELO Rating: 411.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1527.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 224.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.7
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.5
Serve Rating: 94.2
Return Rating: 82.5

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 42.9
ELO Rating: 543.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 204.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Juan Pablo Ficovich

  • Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Los Cabos 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alibek Kachmazov (2-0) hard Los Cabos 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Oliver Bonding (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Last Match: vs Luis Carlos Alvarez (2-0) hard Los Cabos 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hady Habib (2-1) hard Los Cabos 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Bernard Tomic (0-2) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (2-0) grass Mallorca 79 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Juan Pablo Ficovich
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Los Cabos, Mexico, Juan Pablo Ficovich will face Aleksandar Kovacevic on hard courts. The predicted winner is Aleksandar Kovacevic, with a probability of winning set at 60.04% compared to Ficovich's 39.96%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Kovacevic, currently ranked 76, has a higher Elo rating of 543.70 compared to Juan Pablo Ficovich's 411.51, indicating a stronger overall performance on the tour. Kovacevic's form index stands at 42.87, which is lower than Ficovich's 59.92, revealing a recent dip in form for Kovacevic. However, Kovacevic has a cumulative fatigue of 204 minutes, slightly less than Ficovich's 224 minutes, suggesting he might be in a better state heading into this match. Notably, Kovacevic's surface strength index is 7.42, significantly higher than Ficovich's 3.68, indicating better adaptability to hard court surfaces. The difference in their mean serve index is marginal, with Kovacevic at 96.36 and Ficovich at 94.19, while Kovacevic also boasts a superior mean return index of 85.39 compared to Ficovich's 82.50. In their recent performances, both players reached the quarterfinals with notable victories. Ficovich secured wins against Alibek Kachmazov and Quentin Halys in Los Cabos but faced a tough match against Nikoloz Basilashvili at Wimbledon. Conversely, Kovacevic has won his last two matches in Los Cabos, defeating Hady Habib and Luis Carlos Alvarez, showcasing a more consistent performance lately.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic's overall ranking and higher surface strength index give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. One key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Kovacevic's returns, as his superior mean return index may put significant pressure on Ficovich's service games.