Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #79
57%
VS

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

Rank: #149
43%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Ranking Trends

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current Rank: #79 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #66 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #83 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #70 (2024-05-06)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

  • Current Rank: #149 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #111 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #119 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #135 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #136 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 9.1
ELO Rating: 719.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 8.0
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 86.8

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

Form Index: 44.2
ELO Rating: 566.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 194.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.8
Clay: 6.0
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Kei Nishikori (1-2) clay Madrid 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Billy Harris (1-2) clay Munich 116 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 125 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Hugo Dellien (1-2) clay Marrakech 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs David Goffin (1-2) hard Miami 103 min

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-1) clay Rome 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) clay Rome 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) clay Madrid 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Leandro Riedi (0-2) hard Us Open 58 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Berrettini (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 111 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
0
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Aleksandar Vukic and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran takes place in Rome, Italy, as part of the Round of 128 in a Masters 1000 tournament on clay. Vukic is favored to win with a probability of 56.93%, while Moreno De Alboran has a 43.07% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 79, Aleksandar Vukic has a solid form index of 9.07 and an Elo rating of 719.49, reflecting his competitive edge. He has not accumulated any fatigue in the current tournament, which may enhance his performance. His surface strength index stands at 5.46, while his mean serve index is notably high at 97.61, indicating a strong serving capability. In contrast, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, ranked 149, has a significantly lower Elo rating of 566.43 and a form index of 44.16. He has accumulated 194 minutes of fatigue in the tournament, which could affect his stamina. His mean serve index is 96.21, while his return index is slightly lower at 84.63, creating a gap of over 5 points in both serving and returning capabilities compared to Vukic. In their recent performances, Vukic has faced challenges, losing all of his last three matches, including a close contest against Kei Nishikori. He won one set in each match but ultimately fell short. Conversely, Moreno De Alboran has shown more resilience, winning his last two matches at the current tournament against Giulio Zeppieri and Raphael Collignon, demonstrating adaptability on the clay surface.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic holds a slight advantage due to his higher ranking, serve strength, and absence of fatigue, despite his recent struggles. A key factor to monitor in this match will be Vukic's ability to leverage his superior serve against Moreno De Alboran's returning skills, which could dictate the flow of the game.