Corentin Moutet vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Corentin Moutet, currently ranked 59, has a form index of 54.32 and an Elo rating of 1275.09. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 554 minutes, indicating he has spent significant time on court. His surface strength index of 9.43 suggests he is less effective on hard courts compared to his opponent. In contrast, Alex de Minaur, ranked 13, boasts a much stronger form index of 73.16 and an Elo rating of 2797.06. With a lower fatigue level of 369 minutes and a surface strength index of 22.14, de Minaur demonstrates a more favorable profile on hard courts. Notably, Moutet's mean serve index of 96.31 surpasses de Minaur's 94.43 by more than 5 points, while their mean return indices are closely matched, with Moutet at 88.52 and de Minaur at 88.34. In their recent matches, Moutet has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, with a notable victory over Daniil Medvedev in a three-set encounter. However, de Minaur has been in formidable form, winning all three of his last matches without dropping a set, including a convincing victory against Brandon Nakashima. This recent form further solidifies his position as the favorite going into this semifinal.