Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Alex de Minaur vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #13
75%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #75
25%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

Player Metrics

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 72.1
ELO Rating: 2796.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1785.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.1
Clay: 27.0
Grass: 28.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.3

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 37.3
ELO Rating: 632.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1515.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 104.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Alex de Minaur

  • Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs August Holmgren (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) grass London 76 min

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Last Match: vs David Goffin (2-0) hard Washington 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (1-2) hard Los Cabos 182 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alan Magadan (2-0) hard Los Cabos 124 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Mallorca 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Alex de Minaur
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alex de Minaur and Yunchaokete Bu is set to take place in Washington, DC, as part of the Round of 32 at an ATP 500 tournament on hard court. With de Minaur ranked 13th in the world and showing strong recent form, he is predicted to win with a probability of 74.70%, while Bu stands at 25.30%. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated to be 22.0.

Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur holds a significant advantage over Yunchaokete Bu, being ranked 13th compared to Bu's 75th position. De Minaur boasts a form index of 72.08, indicating a solid performance trend, while Bu's form index stands at a mere 37.25, reflecting struggles in recent matches. The Elo rating further emphasizes de Minaur's dominance at 2796.56 versus Bu's 631.98. Notably, de Minaur exhibits a much stronger surface strength index of 22.12 compared to Bu's 8.20, suggesting he is more comfortable and effective on hard courts. Additionally, de Minaur's mean serve index of 95.79 is slightly lower than Bu's 96.08, but the gap is negligible. However, de Minaur leads in mean return index at 88.31, which is 2.42 points higher than Bu's 85.89, showcasing his advantage in returning serves. In their recent performances, de Minaur faced a tough opponent in Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon, where he won one set but ultimately lost the match. Prior to that, he delivered two strong performances, winning convincingly against August Holmgren and Arthur Cazaux. On the other hand, Bu's recent match against David Goffin resulted in a win, but he previously suffered a defeat against Emilio Nava, indicating inconsistencies. His victory was bolstered by a solid performance against Alan Magadan, but overall, his form appears less reliable than that of de Minaur.

Final Prediction

Alex de Minaur's higher ranking, superior form index, and stronger performance metrics provide him with a clear edge over Yunchaokete Bu. The key factor to monitor will be de Minaur's ability to capitalize on his returning prowess, which could significantly impact Bu's service games.