Roberto Carballes Baena

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1508 · #220 Hard #485 Clay #128 Grass #158 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

162-186 46.6% in 348 matches

Clay 115-105
Grass 7-16
Hard 40-65

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 14 6-8 1547 1614 1508
2025 29 11-18 1598 1678 1545
2024 56 27-29 1582 1713 1644
2023 42 19-23 1570 1722 1613
2022 27 10-17 1584 1599 1574
2021 36 18-18 1575 1659 1645
2020 13 5-8 1566 1620 1571
2019 39 19-20 1571 1653 1577
2018 35 17-18 1555 1644 1553
2017 21 10-11 1542 1614 1442
2016 20 11-9 1545 1668 1607
2015 16 9-7 1531 1643 1564

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Jacob Fearnley L 0-2
Jul 13, 2026 Bastad · Clay Carlos Sanchez Jover L 0-1
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Mackenzie McDonald L 0-2
Mark Ceban W 2-0
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Francesco Maestrelli W 2-1
Lautaro Midon W 2-0
Apr 13, 2026 Munich · Clay Alex Molcan L 1-2
Feb 16, 2026 Doha · Hard Zhizhen Zhang L 0-2
Shintaro Mochizuki W 2-0
Lucas Miedler W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Roberto Carballes Baena?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 3.3 actual vs 3.6 projected
2.09 our average miss per match
2.42 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+13% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 24 of the 29 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Roberto Carballes Baena follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 29 11-18 55.2% 13 vs 11.5 exp On serve
2024 bt 51 25-26 60.8% 20 vs 17.4 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Roberto Carballes Baena's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/roberto-carballes-baena">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)