Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Quarterfinals

Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
68%
VS

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #24
32%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 54.8
ELO Rating: 6108.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1881.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 319.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 59.8
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.9

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 50.2
ELO Rating: 1457.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 367.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.7
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 13.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) hard Toronto 51 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) grass Halle 179 min

Alexei Popyrin

  • Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-1) hard Toronto 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Toronto 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nicolas Arseneault (2-0) hard Toronto 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (1-2) hard Washington 157 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Fery (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Alexei Popyrin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Alexander Zverev is set to face Alexei Popyrin on hard courts. Zverev, currently ranked 3rd, is favored to win with a probability of 68.18%, while Popyrin, ranked 24th, has a 31.82% chance of emerging victorious. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Zverev boasts a higher ranking and a solid form index of 54.80 compared to Popyrin's 50.20. His Elo rating of 6107.96 significantly eclipses Popyrin's 1457.41, indicating a marked disparity in their overall game performance. Zverev's cumulative fatigue of 319 minutes is lower than Popyrin's 367 minutes, which may give him a slight physical advantage heading into this match. On hard surfaces, Zverev's surface strength index stands at 55.05, while Popyrin's is considerably lower at 14.70. This difference suggests Zverev is significantly more effective on this surface. Furthermore, Zverev's mean serve index (98.17) exceeds Popyrin's (96.37) by more than 5 points, indicating a stronger serve, and his mean return index (87.92) also surpasses Popyrin's (86.68). In their recent performances, Zverev has been in formidable form, winning all three of his matches in straight sets against solid opponents like Francisco Cerundolo and Matteo Arnaldi, demonstrating both his serving and returning prowess. Conversely, Popyrin has also secured victories in his last three outings, including impressive wins against Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune, but has faced more challenging matches, suggesting he may not be as fresh as Zverev as they enter this quarterfinal.

Final Prediction

Zverev's superior ranking, form, and performance metrics give him a distinct edge over Popyrin in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be Zverev's serve, as his ability to dominate on serve could dictate the rhythm of the match and put pressure on Popyrin's relatively weaker return game.