Arthur Rinderknech

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1692 · #51 Hard #35 Clay #74 Grass #21 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

131-136 49.1% in 267 matches

Clay 36-37
Grass 24-23
Hard 71-76

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 34 15-19 1653 1724 1692
2025 61 30-31 1593 1955 1862
2024 53 27-26 1566 1720 1701
2023 39 15-24 1595 1674 1566
2022 30 15-15 1603 1719 1672
2021 47 29-18 1536 1745 1683
2020 2 0-2 1512 1486 1468
2018 1 0-1 1501 1487 1487

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Daniil Medvedev L 0-3
Jaume Munar W 3-0
Sho Shimabukuro W 3-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Juan Manuel Cerundolo L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Brandon Nakashima L 1-2
Frances Tiafoe W 1-0
Miomir Kecmanovic W 2-1
Jul 20, 2026 Kitzbuhel · Clay Sebastian Baez L 1-2
Jul 13, 2026 Gstaad · Clay Stefanos Tsitsipas L 1-2
Clement Tabur W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Arthur Rinderknech?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 10.0 actual vs 9.4 projected
3.78 our average miss per match
4.04 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+7% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 49 of the 54 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Arthur Rinderknech follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 34 15-19 64.7% 12 vs 12.7 exp On serve
2025 54 26-28 55.6% 24 vs 20.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 39 19-20 66.7% 13 vs 15.8 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Arthur Rinderknech's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/arthur-rinderknech">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)