Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Zverev arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 3) with a superior Elo (2,084.90) and a stronger clay surface strength index (49.12) compared with Jodar (rank 29, Elo 1,937.50, surface index 38.68). Jodar shows excellent form metrics — a higher form index (78.52) and stronger mean return index (90.81) — while both players post very similar serve indices (Jodar 94.41, Zverev 95.03), so neither side gains a distinct serving edge on paper. Fatigue is identical in the dataset (696 minutes on court for each), indicating both have been tested physically through the fortnight. Recent results underline different routes to the quarterfinals. Jodar has battled through three tough wins, including two five-set victories and a four-set match, suggesting resilience but also tournament wear. Zverev’s last three outings show more decisive scorelines (two straight-set wins and a 3-1), reflecting efficiency and fewer extended encounters. Those patterns, combined with Zverev’s higher Elo and clay index, tilt the matchup toward him despite Jodar’s strong returning and recent form.