Luciano Darderi

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1753 · #38 Hard #46 Clay #19 Grass #62 Last match: Oct 07, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

96-83 53.6% in 179 matches

Clay 68-33
Grass 5-8
Hard 23-42

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 58 35-23 1658 1831 1753
2025 54 29-25 1620 1775 1662
2024 53 26-27 1551 1704 1514
2023 12 6-6 1527 1612 1474
2022 1 0-1 1514 1483 1483
2020 1 0-1 1500 1466 1466

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 07, 2026 Shanghai · Hard Stefanos Tsitsipas L 0-2
Sep 30, 2026 Tokio · Hard Kyrian Jacquet L 0-2
Casper Ruud W 2-0
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Alexander Zverev L 0-3
Dane Sweeny W 3-0
Dalibor Svrcina W 3-1
Harry Wendelken W 3-1
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard Botic van de Zandschulp L 0-2
Mattia Bellucci W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Rinky Hijikata L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Luciano Darderi?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.7 actual vs 6.0 projected
2.35 our average miss per match
2.87 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+18% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 49 of the 54 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Luciano Darderi follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 58 35-23 65.5% 20 vs 22.7 exp On serve
2025 54 29-25 72.2% 15 vs 22.1 exp Straight sets
2024 bt 49 24-25 59.2% 20 vs 18.9 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Luciano Darderi's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/luciano-darderi">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)