Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Andrea Pellegrino vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction

Andrea Pellegrino

Rank: #139
22%
VS

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #29
78%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Player Metrics

Andrea Pellegrino

Form Index: 44.6
ELO Rating: 255.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 324.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 1.4
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 89.6

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 48.2
ELO Rating: 1455.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1702.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 11.0
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Andrea Pellegrino

  • Last Match: vs Jaime Faria (2-1) clay Bastad 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Timofey Skatov (2-0) clay Bastad 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Michalski (2-1) clay Bastad 138 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Titouan Droguet (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Diego Schwartzman (0-2) hard Us Open 99 min

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) grass Mallorca 116 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) grass Mallorca 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) grass Mallorca 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrea Pellegrino
vs
0
Tallon Griekspoor
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 250 tournament in Båstad, Sweden, Tallon Griekspoor is set to face Andrea Pellegrino on the clay surface. The prediction tilts heavily in favor of Griekspoor, with a win probability of 77.87% compared to Pellegrino's 22.13%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 22.

Match Analysis

Tallon Griekspoor, currently ranked 29, boasts a solid Elo rating of 1455.85 and a fatigue level of 0 minutes, indicating he enters this match fresh. His surface strength index of 10.96 showcases his proficiency on clay, although his recent performances on grass may not fully reflect this capability. In contrast, Andrea Pellegrino ranks 139 and has a significantly lower Elo rating of 255.04. His fatigue level stands at 324 minutes, which may impact his stamina during the match. The difference in their mean serve indices is marginal, with Griekspoor at 96.52 and Pellegrino at 96.09. However, Pellegrino’s mean return index of 89.64 is notably higher than Griekspoor's 84.92, indicating his capability to challenge serves effectively. In their last three matches, Pellegrino has had a successful run in Båstad, winning all three encounters and demonstrating resilience, particularly in a tightly contested match against Jaime Faria. Conversely, Griekspoor recently suffered a first-round exit at Wimbledon after losing to Jenson Brooksby, despite earlier success in Mallorca. Both players have shown strengths, but Pellegrino's recent form may be overshadowed by Griekspoor's overall ranking and fitness level.

Final Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor's fresh legs and higher ranking provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. The key factor to watch will be how Pellegrino's recent form translates onto the clay against a higher-ranked opponent, particularly regarding his ability to capitalize on return opportunities.