Felix Auger-Aliassime

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1834 · #18 Hard #23 Clay #17 Grass #9 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

270-169 61.5% in 439 matches

Clay 56-48
Grass 35-20
Hard 179-101

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 47 32-15 1919 1927 1834
2025 66 45-21 1668 2033 2020
2024 46 24-22 1642 1894 1645
2023 40 22-18 1920 1955 1755
2022 67 46-21 1831 2037 1993
2021 54 34-20 1724 2034 1924
2020 30 17-13 1664 1801 1637
2019 56 35-21 1554 1843 1697
2018 29 14-15 1534 1644 1596
2017 3 1-2 1500 1540 1504
2016 1 0-1 1500 1472 1472

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Karen Khachanov L 1-3
Rinky Hijikata W 3-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Frances Tiafoe L 0-2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo W 2-0
Stefanos Tsitsipas W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Novak Djokovic L 2-3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina W 3-2
Michael Zheng W 3-0
Dino Prizmic W 3-0
Aleksandr Shevchenko W 3-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Felix Auger-Aliassime?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 10.5 actual vs 8.9 projected
3.87 our average miss per match
4.82 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+20% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 61 of the 66 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Felix Auger-Aliassime follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 47 32-15 72.3% 13 vs 15.6 exp On serve
2025 66 45-21 71.2% 19 vs 26.1 exp Straight sets
2024 bt 46 24-22 63.0% 17 vs 16.5 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Felix Auger-Aliassime's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/felix-auger-aliassime">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)