Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Andrea Vavassori

Rank: #334
29%
VS

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #40
71%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

Ranking Trends

Andrea Vavassori

  • Current Rank: #334 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #316 (2025-10-13)
  • 6 Months Ago: #324 (2025-07-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #293 (2025-04-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #292 (2025-01-13)

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current Rank: #40 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #35 (2025-10-13)
  • 6 Months Ago: #38 (2025-07-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #81 (2025-04-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #86 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Andrea Vavassori

Form Index: 60.7
ELO Rating: 256.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 181
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.1
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 55.7
Return Rating: 20.1

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 31.0
ELO Rating: 1140.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.9
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 35.7
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 92.5

Recent Matches

Andrea Vavassori
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) hard Adelaide 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Adelaide 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Beijing 69 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Beibit Zhukayev (1-2) hard Washington 188 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alfredo Perez (2-0) hard Washington 65 min

Gabriel Diallo
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Coleman Wong (1-2) hard Hong Kong 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Hong Kong 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) hard Paris 157 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Basel 110 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (1-2) hard Almaty 150 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrea Vavassori
vs
0
Gabriel Diallo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Andrea Vavassori and Gabriel Diallo at the Adelaide ATP 250 tournament promises to be a compelling contest on hard courts. With Diallo ranked significantly higher at 40 compared to Vavassori's 334, the prediction favors Diallo as the likely winner with a probability of 70.54%, while Vavassori stands at 29.46%. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Gabriel Diallo's superior ranking and form index (31.03) compared to Andrea Vavassori (60.66) highlight a stark contrast in current performance levels. Diallo boasts an Elo rating of 1140.12, indicating a higher competitive standing, while Vavassori's Elo rating is at 256.28. A notable aspect of this matchup is Diallo's exceptional mean serve index of 98.29, which is 42.55 points higher than Vavassori's 55.74. This significant difference suggests Diallo's serve will likely pose a considerable challenge for Vavassori. Additionally, Diallo's mean return index of 92.55 far surpasses Vavassori's 20.09, further emphasizing his dominance in both serving and returning aspects of the game. In recent performances, Vavassori has shown resilience by winning his last two matches in Adelaide with straight-sets victories, albeit against lower-ranked opponents. However, he did struggle in his match against Adrian Mannarino in Beijing, where he was unable to secure a win. On the other hand, Diallo's last three matches have been a mixed bag, with one victory and two losses, including a close battle against Coleman Wong. Despite this inconsistency, Diallo's overall game profile suggests he has the edge entering this match.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo's advantages in both serving and returning capabilities, coupled with his higher ranking and fresher form, provide him with a clear edge over Andrea Vavassori in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Diallo's ability to leverage his strong serve to dictate points, which could ultimately determine the outcome of the match.