Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The projection’s edge for Fery comes mainly from his recent record at this level and a small advantage in serve and return metrics. Fery is ranked 37, with a strong form index of 75.15 and an Elo around 1856.6. He has been efficient through the draw, logging three straight wins at Winston-Salem, including a recovery win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in a 128 minute match. His surface strength index is 27.30 and cumulative tournament fatigue is moderate at 360 minutes on court. Buse is ranked 36, with lower form and Elo readings than Fery (form index 49.47, Elo 1675.4). His surface strength index is 22.40. Fatigue is a clear factor: Buse has spent 532 minutes in matches this week, with long three-setters against Cerundolo and Bonzi. The explainability engine also notes recent form as a factor tilting slightly toward Buse, and age contributes a marginal edge for him. Serve and return inputs favor Fery overall, though the raw mean serve and return indices are close between the two players, so neither has a dramatic serving advantage on paper. Both players arrive unbeaten in their last three matches here. Fery’s wins include a straight sets quarterfinal and a longer three-setter, showing both control and the ability to grind. Buse’s run features tougher, longer matches and more time on court, which helps explain his elevated fatigue figure going into the final.