Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

August Holmgren vs Tomas Machac Prediction

August Holmgren

Rank: #192
16%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #23
84%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

Ranking Trends

August Holmgren

  • Current Rank: #192 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #202 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #200 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #167 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #291 (2024-07-01)

Tomas Machac

  • Current Rank: #23 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #21 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #25 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #33 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #39 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

August Holmgren

Form Index: 74.3
ELO Rating: 472.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1526.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.3
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 3.7
Serve Rating: 93.7
Return Rating: 83.3

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 60.1
ELO Rating: 1405.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 14.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

August Holmgren
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Yosuke Watanuki (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Murphy Cassone (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jozef Kovalik (1-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hayden Jones (2-1) hard Australian Open 174 min

Tomas Machac
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) grass Halle 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) grass Halle 59 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (2-1) grass Halle 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Quentin Halys (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
August Holmgren
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between August Holmgren and Tomas Machac is set to be a compelling encounter in the Round of 64 on grass. With the tournament’s prestige and intensity, the predicted winner is Tomas Machac, who holds an 84.39% probability of winning compared to Holmgren's 15.61%. The anticipated total number of games played is approximately 36.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac, currently ranked 23, showcases impressive statistics with a form index of 60.06 and an Elo rating of 1405.79. His fatigue level stands at 174 minutes, indicating a manageable workload as he progresses through the tournament. Notably, Machac's surface strength index of 14.19 significantly overshadows Holmgren’s 3.71, which suggests a pronounced advantage for Machac on grass courts. Additionally, Machac's mean serve index (95.39) exceeds Holmgren's (93.66) by just over 2 points, while his mean return index (87.32) surpasses Holmgren's (83.34) by more than 4 points. These metrics highlight Machac's overall efficiency in both serving and returning on grass. August Holmgren, ranked 192, has demonstrated a commendable form index of 74.30 and has recently achieved victories in his last three matches, showcasing resilience, particularly in the current tournament. His recent performances include a dominant win over Quentin Halys, where he won all sets. However, Machac also comes off a convincing victory against Damir Dzumhur, further indicating his readiness for this challenge despite a recent setback against Alexander Bublik.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac’s superior ranking, combined with his higher serve and return indices, grants him a distinct edge in this matchup. The key factor to observe will be how Holmgren manages to cope with Machac's powerful serve and return game, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.