Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Jannik Sinner comes into this match with a strong form index of 69.09 and an impressive Elo rating of 11447, which suggests he is performing at a high level. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 436 minutes, indicating he has had a slightly less demanding path than Alcaraz. Sinner's surface strength index is a perfect 100.0, showcasing his dominance on hard courts. Notably, Sinner's mean serve index of 97.69 is significantly superior to Alcaraz's 94.47, creating a serve advantage for the top seed. Furthermore, Sinner's mean return index of 89.05 also surpasses Alcaraz's 87.38, though the difference here is less pronounced. On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz, with a form index of 69.92 and an Elo rating of 6662, has also demonstrated strong capabilities in this tournament. However, he enters this final with higher cumulative fatigue at 518 minutes, which might affect his performance. Alcaraz's recent matches include a notable win over Alexander Zverev, as well as a challenging encounter with Andrey Rublev, which he won in three sets. Sinner, meanwhile, has dominated his last three opponents without dropping a set, showcasing his current form and confidence.