Jannik Sinner

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 2468 · #1 Hard #1 Clay #2 Grass #1 Last match: Jun 29, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

318-84 79.1% in 402 matches

Clay 84-26
Grass 38-12
Hard 196-46

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 47 44-3 2650 2654 2468
2025 55 49-6 2683 2703 2342
2024 71 65-6 2149 2396 2334
2023 68 55-13 1741 2114 2114
2022 53 39-14 1835 2052 1932
2021 61 41-20 1646 1955 1897
2020 22 11-11 1567 1820 1806
2019 25 14-11 1501 1667 1652

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Alexander Zverev W 3-1
Novak Djokovic W 3-0
Jan-Lennard Struff W 3-0
Shintaro Mochizuki W 3-0
Jenson Brooksby W 3-0
Nuno Borges W 3-0
Miomir Kecmanovic W 3-2
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Juan Manuel Cerundolo L 2-3
Clement Tabur W 3-0
May 06, 2026 Rome · Clay Casper Ruud W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Jannik Sinner?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.0 actual vs 7.7 projected
2.82 our average miss per match
2.93 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+4% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 50 of the 55 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Jannik Sinner follow the script?

Straight sets · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 47 44-3 93.6% 3 vs 6.5 exp Straight sets
2025 55 49-6 87.3% 7 vs 11.6 exp Straight sets
2024 bt 71 65-6 94.4% 4 vs 11.8 exp Straight sets

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Jannik Sinner's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/jannik-sinner">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)