Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Corentin Moutet vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #39
52%
VS

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #84
48%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Ranking Trends

Corentin Moutet

  • Current Rank: #39 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #89 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #76 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #70 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #69 (2024-09-16)

Arthur Cazaux

  • Current Rank: #84 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #115 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #118 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #63 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #88 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 26.4
ELO Rating: 1232.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1625.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 88.7

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 63.6
ELO Rating: 863.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1583.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 171.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jordan Thompson (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) hard Cincinnati 146 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-0) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Toronto 84 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Toronto 73 min

Arthur Cazaux
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) hard Hangzhou 171 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jay Clarke (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mark Lajal (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) hard Cincinnati 113 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
0
Arthur Cazaux
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, Corentin Moutet is set to face off against Arthur Cazaux on hard courts. The matchup is expected to be closely contested, with Moutet slightly favored to win, holding a 51.90% probability compared to Cazaux's 48.10%. The predicted total number of games in this match is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet, currently ranked 39, possesses a form index of 26.42 and an Elo rating of 1232.45. He has shown resilience on hard surfaces, reflected in his surface strength index of 9.30. Notably, Moutet's mean serve index of 96.24 surpasses Cazaux's mean serve index of 95.48 by a margin that could prove critical in tight situations. Moutet also boasts a superior mean return index of 88.75 compared to Cazaux's 86.34, indicating his stronger capability to capitalize on his opponent's service games. Moreover, Moutet enters this match with no cumulative fatigue, while Cazaux has accumulated 171 minutes on court, which may affect his performance. In their recent matches, Moutet has had a mixed bag of results, winning one out of his last three encounters, with his most recent match ending in a loss at the US Open. Conversely, Cazaux has secured two wins out of his last three matches, including a solid victory in Hangzhou, which may add to his confidence heading into this contest. However, Cazaux's fatigue could be a significant factor, especially if the match extends into long rallies.

Final Prediction

Moutet's edge lies in his higher rank, better statistics, and lack of fatigue, which could enhance his performance against Cazaux. A key factor to observe will be Moutet's ability to leverage his superior return game, as effectively breaking Cazaux's serve could tilt the match in his favor.