Mackenzie McDonald
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
156-175 47.1% in 331 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 12-15 | 1555 | 1629 | 1554 |
| 2025 | 43 | 20-23 | 1546 | 1661 | 1526 |
| 2024 | 25 | 8-17 | 1606 | 1589 | 1533 |
| 2023 | 54 | 29-25 | 1578 | 1751 | 1715 |
| 2022 | 43 | 18-25 | 1608 | 1730 | 1526 |
| 2021 | 43 | 26-17 | 1534 | 1824 | 1719 |
| 2020 | 15 | 6-9 | 1542 | 1580 | 1559 |
| 2019 | 27 | 13-14 | 1569 | 1691 | 1556 |
| 2018 | 39 | 19-20 | 1530 | 1734 | 1610 |
| 2017 | 8 | 4-4 | 1515 | 1561 | 1523 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0-5 | 1512 | 1493 | 1423 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1-1 | 1500 | 1530 | 1509 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Us Open · Hard | Dalibor Svrcina | L 1-2 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | W 2-0 | ||
| Stefano Napolitano | W 2-0 | ||
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cincinnati · Hard | Yibing Wu | L 1-2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Washington · Hard | Alex Michelsen | L 0-2 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 0-2 | ||
| Edas Butvilas | W 2-1 | ||
| Jun 29, 2026 | Wimbledon · Grass | Patrick Kypson | L 1-3 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 3-0 | ||
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 2-0 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Mackenzie McDonald?
Comparison covers 19 of the 24 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Mackenzie McDonald follow the script?
On serve · 2025| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 8-16 | 66.7% | 8 vs 9.2 exp | On serve |
| 2024 bt | 17 | 4-13 | 58.8% | 7 vs 6.4 exp | On serve |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Mackenzie McDonald's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/mackenzie-mcdonald">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)