Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Elias Ymer vs Tristan Boyer Prediction

Elias Ymer

Rank: #221
47%
VS

Tristan Boyer

Rank: #120
53%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tristan Boyer

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Ranking Trends

Elias Ymer

  • Current #221 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #248 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #327 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #252 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #202 2024-07-15

Tristan Boyer

  • Current #120 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #122 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #136 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #214 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #213 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Elias Ymer

Form Index: 41.3
ELO Rating: 250.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 1.9
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.7

Tristan Boyer

Form Index: 41.7
ELO Rating: 499.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.8
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Elias Ymer
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Tristan Boyer
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) grass Stuttgart 132 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Duje Ajdukovic (2-1) grass Stuttgart 168 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Vilius Gaubas (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Rincon (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Otto Virtanen (1-2) clay Rome 153 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Elias Ymer
vs
0
Tristan Boyer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Elias Ymer and Tristan Boyer takes place in the Round of 32 at the Bastad tournament, a clay surface event in Sweden. With a close probability of victory at 53.27% for Boyer and 46.73% for Ymer, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Elias Ymer is currently ranked 221, with a form index of 41.33 and an Elo rating of 250.12. His fatigue level stands at 0.0, indicating that he has had no accumulated fatigue from the current tournament, which could enhance his performance. Ymer has a surface strength index of 1.89, a mean serve index of 97.27, and a mean return index of 87.75. Notably, his serve index is competitive but does not significantly outpace Boyer's. In contrast, Tristan Boyer, ranked 120, has a slightly better form index of 41.74 and a much higher Elo rating of 499.72. He also has no fatigue from the current tournament, which suggests he is fresh and ready for the match. Boyer's surface strength index is notably higher at 3.46, and while his mean serve index is 94.75, his mean return index of 86.34 is close enough to Ymer's that it may not be a decisive factor. Recent performances show that both players have struggled, with Ymer losing two of his last three matches and Boyer facing similar challenges with two losses as well.

Final Prediction

Tristan Boyer is predicted to emerge victorious due to his higher rank, superior Elo rating, and stronger surface strength index, which may give him an advantage on clay. A key factor to observe during the match will be the effectiveness of each player’s return game, particularly as both have shown vulnerabilities in their recent performances.

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