Christopher O'Connell

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1665 · #62 Hard #54 Clay #700 Grass #135 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

120-120 50.0% in 240 matches

Clay 17-27
Grass 14-14
Hard 89-79

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 34 18-16 1554 1724 1665
2025 46 22-24 1580 1679 1551
2024 48 23-25 1578 1755 1654
2023 53 26-27 1565 1687 1622
2022 26 15-11 1539 1657 1540
2021 27 15-12 1556 1680 1620
2020 4 1-3 1547 1575 1518
2019 1 0-1 1500 1487 1487
2017 1 0-1 1522 1510 1510

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Zsombor Piros L 1-1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer W 2-0
Stefanos Sakellaridis W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Taylor Fritz L 0-2
Casper Ruud W 1-0
Kamil Majchrzak W 2-0
Aleksandr Shevchenko W 2-0
Dane Sweeny W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard James Duckworth L 0-2
Jaime Faria W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Christopher O'Connell?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.1 actual vs 7.1 projected
3.36 our average miss per match
3.50 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+4% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 29 of the 34 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Christopher O'Connell follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 34 15-19 67.6% 11 vs 14.1 exp On serve
2024 bt 39 17-22 66.7% 13 vs 15.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Christopher O'Connell's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/christopher-oconnell">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)