Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Francesco Passaro vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Prediction

Francesco Passaro

Rank: #101
48%
VS

Chun-Hsin Tseng

Rank: #102
52%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Chun-Hsin Tseng

Ranking Trends

Francesco Passaro

  • Current Rank: #101 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #91 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #111 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #149 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #240 (2024-05-06)

Chun-Hsin Tseng

  • Current Rank: #102 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #120 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #113 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #122 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #248 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Francesco Passaro

Form Index: 64.1
ELO Rating: 666.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.7
Minutes Played in Current Tournament: 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 5.3
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.7

Chun-Hsin Tseng

Form Index: 49.0
ELO Rating: 602.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1543.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 163.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 4.7
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Francesco Passaro
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Bautista Torres (2-1) clay Buenos Aires 142 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-0) clay Buenos Aires 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Grigor Dimitrov (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min

Chun-Hsin Tseng
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-0) clay Rome 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriele Piraino (2-0) clay Rome 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Cristian Garin (1-2) clay Madrid 162 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) clay Munich 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-1) clay Munich 151 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francesco Passaro
vs
0
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Francesco Passaro will face Chun-Hsin Tseng on clay. The match promises to be closely contested, with Chun-Hsin Tseng slightly favored to win with a probability of 51.86% against Passaro’s 48.14%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Both players are ranked closely, with Passaro at 101 and Tseng at 102. Passaro has a higher form index of 64.05 compared to Tseng's 48.96, indicating better recent performance. However, Tseng holds a higher surface strength index (5.78) compared to Passaro (5.34), suggesting he may adapt better to the clay conditions. Passaro's Elo rating of 666.56 also exceeds Tseng's 602.05, reflecting a stronger overall performance in their careers. Fatigue could play a role as well, with Tseng carrying a cumulative fatigue of 163 minutes from previous matches, while Passaro enters the match fresh with zero fatigue. In their last three matches, Passaro has shown resilience, winning two out of three matches, including a recent victory in Buenos Aires. Conversely, Tseng has also won his last two matches in Rome, showcasing his ability to perform well on clay. Both players have similar mean return indices, with Passaro at 87.69 and Tseng at 87.20, but Passaro's mean serve index of 96.41 surpasses Tseng's 94.56 by more than 5 points, which could provide him with crucial advantages in service games.

Final Prediction

Chun-Hsin Tseng's slight edge in surface strength, combined with his recent success on clay, positions him favorably for this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be how effectively Passaro can leverage his superior serve against Tseng's return capabilities, potentially swinging the momentum in his favor.