Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #42
45%
VS

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #41
55%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexandre Muller

Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 33.8
ELO Rating: 1115.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1522.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 111.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.3
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 99.2
Return Rating: 82.9

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 38.7
ELO Rating: 1260.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 133.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-1) hard Winston Salem 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (0-2) hard Cincinnati 55 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-0) hard Toronto 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-2) hard Washington 100 min

Alexandre Muller

  • Last Match: vs Darwin Blanch (2-1) hard Winston Salem 133 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Toronto 65 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-1) hard Washington 57 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
0
Alexandre Muller
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Winston-Salem tournament, located in North Carolina, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is set to face Alexandre Muller on hard courts. The predicted winner is Alexandre Muller, with a 55.20% probability of victory compared to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's 44.80%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Both players are closely ranked, with Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at 42 and Alexandre Muller at 41. Mpetshi Perricard holds a form index of 33.85, while Muller has a higher index of 38.71, indicating a slight edge in current performance quality. In terms of Elo ratings, Mpetshi Perricard's rating stands at 1115.66, whereas Muller boasts a higher rating of 1260.52. This suggests that Muller has been performing better against higher-ranked opponents. Fatigue levels are notable, with Perricard at 111 minutes and Muller at 133 minutes on court, which could impact their performance. In terms of surface strength, Mpetshi Perricard's index is 11.26 compared to Muller’s 7.88, indicating a stronger adaptation to hard surfaces for Perricard. Analyzing their recent performances, Mpetshi Perricard won his last match against Pedro Martinez but faced losses in the two matches prior, reflecting inconsistency. Conversely, Muller won his last match against Darwin Blanch but also suffered defeats in his previous two matches, indicating that both players are looking to regain form. Notably, Mpetshi Perricard has a significantly higher mean serve index of 99.24 compared to Muller's 95.26, which may provide him an advantage in service games, although Muller's mean return index of 88.84 surpasses Perricard's return index of 82.95, highlighting his ability to capitalize on service weaknesses.

Final Prediction

Alexandre Muller is predicted to have the upper hand due to his superior Elo rating and recent match experience, despite being slightly more fatigued. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of both players' serves, particularly how well Mpetshi Perricard can leverage his serve against Muller’s strong return game.