Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #57
55%
VS

Fabio Fognini

Rank: #107
45%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jacob Fearnley

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 765.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1539.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 6.4
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.6

Fabio Fognini

Form Index: 39.7
ELO Rating: 587.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 6.2
Grass: 7.2
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley

  • Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) clay Madrid 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-1) clay Madrid 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) clay Madrid 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Pavel Kotov (2-1) clay Madrid 126 min

Fabio Fognini

  • Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) clay Madrid 67 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) clay Madrid 168 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Ritschard (2-0) clay Madrid 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-1) clay Monte Carlo 62 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) clay Marrakech 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
0
Fabio Fognini
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Rome Masters 1000 will see Jacob Fearnley take on Fabio Fognini in the Round of 128 on clay. Fearnley is predicted to edge out Fognini with a win probability of 54.64% compared to Fognini's 45.36%. The expected total number of games played is projected at 22.

Match Analysis

In terms of ranking, Jacob Fearnley stands at 57, significantly ahead of Fabio Fognini, who is currently ranked 107. The form index also favors Fearnley with a score of 55.04, contrasting sharply with Fognini's 39.66. Fearnley's Elo rating of 765.55 indicates a stronger performance trend compared to Fognini's 587.25. Both players show no signs of fatigue, as indicated by their cumulative fatigue scores of 0.0 minutes. Fearnley possesses a slightly higher surface strength index (6.37) than Fognini (6.18), which suggests he may perform better on the clay surface. Notably, Fearnley’s mean serve index is 96.63, surpassing Fognini’s 95.47 by more than 5 points, indicating a potential advantage in service games. In their recent performances, Fearnley has had mixed results, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, with a notable victory over Tomas Machac but losing to Grigor Dimitrov. In contrast, Fognini has also won 2 out of his last 3 matches, but his most recent performance against Laslo Djere was a setback, where he lost in straight sets. The inconsistency in Fognini's recent form may play a crucial role in the outcome of this match.

Final Prediction

Jacob Fearnley holds a slight edge over Fabio Fognini due to his superior ranking, form, and recent performances, alongside a stronger serve. A key factor to watch will be Fearnley’s ability to capitalize on his serve, which could prove decisive in securing the match on the clay surface.