Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Jakub Mensik vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #18
53%
VS

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #53
47%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 83.2
ELO Rating: 2130.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 199
Surface Strength:
Hard: 65.0
Clay: 46.8
Grass: 49.4
Serve Rating: 41.3
Return Rating: 50.0

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 73.0
ELO Rating: 1036.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 305
Surface Strength:
Hard: 36.5
Clay: 29.2
Grass: 24.9
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 93.5

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik

  • Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Auckland 65 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-1) hard Auckland 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Henry Bernet (2-1) hard Basel 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (1-2) hard Shanghai 148 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Beijing 130 min

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-1) hard Auckland 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-0) hard Auckland 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-1) hard Auckland 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (0-2) hard Hong Kong 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Paris 126 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Auckland tournament in New Zealand, Jakub Mensik is set to face Fabian Marozsan on hard courts. With a slight edge, Mensik is predicted to win the match with a probability of 53.02%, while Marozsan stands at 46.98%. The anticipated total number of games played in this contest is projected to be 24.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 18, boasts a form index of 83.25 and an Elo rating of 2130. His fatigue level is at 199 minutes, indicating a relatively fresh performance in the tournament. Mensik’s surface strength index of 65.00 suggests he is well-suited for hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index is 41.28, while his mean return index is 50.01, indicating a balanced capability in both serving and returning. Fabian Marozsan, ranked 53, has a lower form index of 73.02 and an Elo rating of 1036. His cumulative fatigue is notably higher at 305 minutes, which could hinder his performance. His surface strength index of 36.50 is considerably less than Mensik's, revealing potential challenges on hard courts. Marozsan's mean serve index is impressive at 98.20, and his mean return index stands at 93.51, showcasing his strengths in serving and returning. The significant difference in mean serve index (over 5 points) favors Marozsan, which may play a critical role in the match dynamics. In their recent performances, Mensik has convincingly won his last three matches, including a dominant victory against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. Conversely, Marozsan has also shown resilience, defeating tough opponents such as Casper Ruud and Gael Monfils, but has faced slightly more competition, which may impact his stamina.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's superior ranking, form index, and lower fatigue level give him a crucial advantage heading into this semifinal match. However, Marozsan's strong serving ability could be a key factor to watch, potentially influencing the outcome if he can utilize it effectively against Mensik’s returning capabilities.

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