Casper Ruud

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1779 · #32 Hard #50 Clay #4 Grass #28 Last match: Aug 13, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

300-164 64.7% in 464 matches

Clay 182-67
Grass 5-9
Hard 113-88

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 39 24-15 1775 1971 1779
2025 50 34-16 1921 2039 1792
2024 61 41-20 1782 2057 1747
2023 57 35-22 2082 2032 1752
2022 59 42-17 1916 2089 1926
2021 58 45-13 1674 1977 1928
2020 30 19-11 1595 1835 1771
2019 52 30-22 1552 1781 1657
2018 32 19-13 1540 1709 1651
2017 24 11-13 1523 1630 1517
2016 2 0-2 1500 1481 1473

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Christopher O'Connell L 0-1
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Joao Fonseca L 0-2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo W 2-0
Jul 13, 2026 Gstaad · Clay Juan Manuel Cerundolo L 1-2
Jaime Faria W 2-1
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Hubert Hurkacz L 0-3
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Joao Fonseca L 1-3
Tommy Paul W 3-2
Hamad Medjedovic W 3-0
Roman Safiullin W 3-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Casper Ruud?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.8 actual vs 5.7 projected
2.16 our average miss per match
2.65 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+19% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 45 of the 50 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Casper Ruud follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 39 24-15 74.4% 10 vs 14.3 exp On serve
2025 50 34-16 70.0% 15 vs 17.2 exp On serve
2024 bt 61 41-20 63.9% 22 vs 19.0 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Casper Ruud's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/casper-ruud">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)