Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Semifinals

Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
80%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
20%
Predicted Games Played: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 87.9
ELO Rating: 11319.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2170.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 98.9
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 89.2

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 84.6
ELO Rating: 1592.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1687.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.3
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-1) hard Cincinnati 23 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-0) hard Cincinnati 86 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-1) hard Cincinnati 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Cincinnati 74 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the US Open, held in New York on hard court, top-ranked Jannik Sinner faces off against 27th-ranked Felix Auger-Aliassime. Sinner is predicted to win with a probability of 79.97%, while Auger-Aliassime has a probability of 20.03%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 34.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner, currently ranked number 1, boasts an impressive form index of 87.86 and an Elo rating of 11319.28, indicating his strong performance throughout the tournament. He has accumulated 522 minutes of fatigue but still maintains a high surface strength index of 98.88. In contrast, Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 27th, has a form index of 84.64 and an Elo rating of 1592.39, reflecting a significant gap in their overall performance levels. The surface strength index for Auger-Aliassime is notably lower at 14.33, suggesting he may struggle on hard courts against a player of Sinner's caliber. Additionally, Sinner's mean serve index of 97.56 surpasses Auger-Aliassime's 95.85 by more than 5 points, which could impact the serve-and-return dynamics during the match. Furthermore, Sinner's mean return index of 89.22 is greater than Auger-Aliassime's 85.63, indicating an advantage in returning serves. Over their last three matches, Sinner has shown dominance, winning all three without losing a set, including a convincing performance against Lorenzo Musetti in the quarterfinals. Auger-Aliassime, while also successful in his previous matches, faced a more competitive challenge, winning two matches with one set dropped against both Alex de Minaur and Alexander Zverev. His ability to secure victories is commendable, but Sinner's recent form and consistency are strikingly superior.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner’s edge comes from his overall ranking, superior performance metrics, and recent form, making him a formidable opponent. A key factor to observe during the match will be Sinner's ability to leverage his serve effectively against Auger-Aliassime, which could set the tone for the semifinal clash.