Lorenzo Musetti

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1825 · #19 Hard #26 Clay #5 Grass #13 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

178-126 58.6% in 304 matches

Clay 78-42
Grass 18-11
Hard 82-73

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 31 20-11 1899 1984 1825
2025 58 39-19 1760 2071 1823
2024 59 34-25 1647 1942 1791
2023 53 28-25 1686 1855 1716
2022 48 26-22 1600 1834 1830
2021 42 22-20 1551 1808 1626
2020 12 9-3 1511 1720 1685
2019 1 0-1 1500 1482 1482

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Dane Sweeny L 1-3
Arthur Fery W 3-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Frances Tiafoe L 0-2
Jaime Faria W 2-0
Michael Zheng W 2-0
Daniel Altmaier W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Rafael Jodar L 0-2
Nicolas Mejia W 2-0
Jul 27, 2026 Washington · Hard Rafael Jodar L 1-2
Aleksandar Vukic W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Lorenzo Musetti?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.2 actual vs 4.4 projected
1.91 our average miss per match
2.09 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+9% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 53 of the 58 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Lorenzo Musetti follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 31 20-11 74.2% 8 vs 9.9 exp On serve
2025 58 39-19 65.5% 20 vs 21.2 exp On serve
2024 bt 59 34-25 62.7% 22 vs 20.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Lorenzo Musetti's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/lorenzo-musetti">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)