Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro Prediction

Matej Dodig

Rank: #368
34%
VS

Francesco Passaro

Rank: #131
66%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Francesco Passaro

Player Metrics

Matej Dodig

Form Index: 32.7
ELO Rating: 204.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1508.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.8
Clay: 2.0
Grass: 1.7
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 75.0

Francesco Passaro

Form Index: 47.4
ELO Rating: 685.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1556.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 6.1
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Matej Dodig

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Umag 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Enzo Couacaud (2-1) clay Umag 130 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Francesco Passaro

  • Last Match: vs Jerome Kym (0-2) clay Gstaad 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) clay Gstaad 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gonzalo Bueno (2-0) clay Gstaad 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mika Brunold (2-0) clay Gstaad 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (1-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Matej Dodig
vs
0
Francesco Passaro
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Umag tournament in Croatia, Matej Dodig faces off against Francesco Passaro on clay. The predicted winner is Francesco Passaro, with a probability of winning set at 66%, while Matej Dodig stands at 34%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is projected to be around 21.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 368, Matej Dodig has a form index of 32.72 and an Elo rating of 204. His fatigue level is at 0.0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for this encounter. Dodig’s surface strength index on clay is relatively low at 1.96, suggesting he may struggle on this surface. His mean serve index is quite strong at 96.53, but his mean return index is notably weaker at 74.95, resulting in a significant difference of over 20 points in that area. This disparity may hinder his ability to effectively counter Passaro’s serves. On the other hand, Francesco Passaro, ranked 131, boasts a higher form index of 47.40 and an impressive Elo rating of 685.07. He also shows no fatigue from previous matches, which could play a crucial role in maintaining his performance level. Passaro’s surface strength index is significantly higher at 6.07, indicating better adaptability to clay conditions. His mean serve index is slightly lower at 94.93 compared to Dodig, but his mean return index of 87.36 gives him a substantial edge, as it surpasses Dodig's by over 12 points. In their recent performances, Passaro has won two out of his last three matches, while Dodig has had mixed results, winning one and losing two.

Final Prediction

Francesco Passaro is positioned as the favorite due to his higher ranking, stronger form, and better performance metrics, particularly in return capabilities. A key factor to observe in this match will be how effectively Dodig can hold serve against Passaro's superior return game, which could ultimately determine the match's outcome.