Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Thiago Monteiro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction

Thiago Monteiro

Rank: #142
40%
VS

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Rank: #303
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Player Metrics

Thiago Monteiro

Form Index: 34.5
ELO Rating: 475.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1536.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 207.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 6.2
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.5

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Form Index: 50.9
ELO Rating: 191.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 245.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.6
Clay: 1.5
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 94.3
Return Rating: 90.3

Recent Matches

Thiago Monteiro

  • Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (2-1) clay Bastad 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Andrej Martin (2-0) clay Bastad 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yosuke Watanuki (1-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ivan Gakhov (1-2) clay Geneva 147 min

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

  • Last Match: vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (2-1) clay Bastad 154 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (2-0) clay Bastad 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yan Bai (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Thiago Monteiro
vs
0
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Thiago Monteiro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Round of 32 at the Bastad tournament promises to be an intriguing contest on clay. With the tournament being an ATP 250 event, the stakes are high as both players look to advance. The predicted winner is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, with a probability of 59.70% compared to Thiago Monteiro's 40.30%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Thiago Monteiro is currently ranked 142nd with a form index of 34.48 and an Elo rating of 475.06. He has a higher surface strength index of 6.24, which indicates a better capability on clay. However, Monteiro's cumulative fatigue stands at 207 minutes, which could impact his performance. In comparison, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, ranked 303rd, has a form index of 50.89 but a lower surface strength index of 1.46. His Elo rating of 191.34 reflects his current competitive standing. Notably, Kjaer's mean serve index is slightly lower at 94.31, and his mean return index is higher at 90.29, giving him an edge in returning serves. This 5-point difference in the mean return index could be crucial in determining the outcome of rallies. Recent performances have seen both players in mixed form. Monteiro has won two of his last three matches, including a recent victory over Vilius Gaubas, showcasing resilience despite a prior loss at Wimbledon. Kjaer, on the other hand, has also secured two wins in his last three outings, demonstrating solid play in his matches against Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Thiago Seyboth Wild. This recent success may bolster Kjaer’s confidence heading into the match.

Final Prediction

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer holds the slight advantage, primarily due to his higher form index and recent performances that show a trend of improvement. Additionally, his superior return game could prove to be a significant factor as he looks to exploit Monteiro's fatigue. The match will likely hinge on Kjaer's ability to capitalize on his return opportunities, making it a key aspect to watch.