Thiago Monteiro

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1537 Last match: Jul 13, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

142-164 46.4% in 306 matches

Clay 98-100
Grass 8-11
Hard 36-53

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 8 4-4 1530 1572 1537
2025 21 9-12 1557 1662 1465
2024 33 19-14 1554 1814 1601
2023 31 12-19 1574 1602 1489
2022 35 16-19 1580 1610 1577
2021 31 13-18 1582 1669 1481
2020 25 13-12 1562 1604 1581
2019 28 15-13 1545 1730 1595
2018 23 10-13 1548 1570 1499
2017 40 16-24 1567 1610 1492
2016 22 11-11 1508 1574 1496
2015 9 4-5 1508 1527 1511

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Jul 13, 2026 Gstaad · Clay Dylan Dietrich L 1-2
Pierre-Hugues Herbert W 2-1
Feb 23, 2026 Santiago · Clay Adolfo Daniel Vallejo L 1-2
Feb 16, 2026 Rio · Clay Joao Fonseca L 0-2
Dusan Lajovic W 2-1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo W 2-0
Feb 09, 2026 Buenos Aires · Clay Hugo Dellien L 0-2
Franco Agamenone W 2-0
Aug 24, 2025 Us Open · Hard Murphy Cassone L 1-2
Jul 20, 2025 Kitzbuhel · Clay Facundo Bagnis L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Thiago Monteiro?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 7.6 actual vs 6.8 projected
- our average miss per match
- baseline average miss (last five matches)
- accuracy edge over the baseline

Not enough matches with a baseline in 2025 for a fair comparison. The chart still shows every match we projected.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Thiago Monteiro follow the script?

On serve · 2024
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2024 bt 20 10-10 50.0% 10 vs 7.5 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Thiago Monteiro's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/thiago-monteiro">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)