Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Patrick Kypson vs Francisco Comesana: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Patrick Kypson

Rank: #118
26%
VS

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #66
74%
Expected Total Games: 37.7
Predicted Winner: Francisco Comesana

Ranking Trends

Patrick Kypson

  • Current Rank: #118 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #166 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #214 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #452 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #213 (2025-01-13)

Francisco Comesana

  • Current Rank: #66 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #64 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #73 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #70 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #85 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Patrick Kypson

Form Index: 17.9
ELO Rating: 492.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1523.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.4
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 3.6
Serve Rating: 68.1
Return Rating: 42.5

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 32.7
ELO Rating: 785.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.4
Clay: 19.5
Grass: 17.1
Serve Rating: 98.5
Return Rating: 95.7

Recent Matches

Patrick Kypson
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Auckland 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Michael Mmoh (1-2) hard Hong Kong 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-0) hard Hong Kong 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bernard Tomic (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Martin Landaluce (1-2) hard Cincinnati 140 min

Francisco Comesana
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Auckland 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Auckland 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juncheng Shang (0-2) hard Hong Kong 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (1-2) hard Paris 138 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (1-0) hard Paris 38 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Patrick Kypson
vs
0
Francisco Comesana
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Patrick Kypson and Francisco Comesana at the Australian Open represents a crucial contest in the Round of 128 on hard courts. With a significant difference in rankings and recent performances, Francisco Comesana is predicted to win with a probability of 73.74%, while Patrick Kypson has a 26.26% chance of victory. The expected total number of games played in this match is 37.66.

Match Analysis

Francisco Comesana currently holds a rank of 66, significantly higher than Patrick Kypson, who is ranked at 118. Comesana's form index stands at 32.71, reflecting better recent performance compared to Kypson's 17.89. Additionally, Comesana’s Elo rating of 785.49 indicates a stronger overall competitive standing than Kypson's 492.62. Both players show no signs of fatigue, which could provide an equal footing in terms of stamina. Notably, Comesana has a mean serve index of 98.50 compared to Kypson's 68.11, a difference of over 30 points, highlighting Comesana's superior serving ability. Furthermore, Comesana's mean return index of 95.67 also surpasses Kypson's 42.52 by a substantial margin, suggesting that he could perform better on return games. In their recent matches, Kypson has struggled, losing his last two encounters, including a straight-set defeat to Emilio Nava. Conversely, Comesana's recent performances have been mixed, but he exhibited a strong showing against Valentin Royer, winning in straight sets. This contrast in form and momentum could play a significant role in their upcoming match.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 37.7 Most likely outcome: 37 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The match is expected to feature approximately 8.33 aces, with both players capable of delivering powerful serves due to the medium-paced hard court surface. The expected double faults prediction stands at around 4.88, indicating that both players may struggle with consistency at times. Given Comesana's higher mean serve index, he is likely to contribute more to the ace count than Kypson, potentially capitalizing on any opening in Kypson’s return game.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 8.3 Most likely: 8 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 4.9 Most likely: 4 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Francisco Comesana’s superior rank, form, and serve strength provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. One key factor to watch will be how well Kypson can handle Comesana's serve, as this could dictate the flow of the match and ultimately impact the outcome.

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