Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Rinky Hijikata vs Timofey Skatov Prediction

Rinky Hijikata

Rank: #114
49%
VS

Timofey Skatov

Rank: #233
51%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Timofey Skatov

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Ranking Trends

Rinky Hijikata

  • Current #114 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #80 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #85 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #72 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #79 2024-10-14

Timofey Skatov

  • Current #233 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #253 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #179 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #194 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #192 2024-10-14

Player Metrics

Rinky Hijikata

Form Index: 41.8
ELO Rating: 636.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1542.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 158.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 7.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 86.3

Timofey Skatov

Form Index: 34.2
ELO Rating: 279.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1525.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.9
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 94.2
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Rinky Hijikata
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Blanchet (0-2) hard Almaty 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Paul (2-0) hard Almaty 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs James Trotter (1-2) hard Shanghai 150 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefano Napolitano (2-0) hard Shanghai 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) hard Hangzhou 88 min

Timofey Skatov
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Hangzhou 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrea Pellegrino (0-2) clay Bastad 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sumit Nagal (2-0) clay Bastad 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Luca Van Assche (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alibek Kachmazov (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Rinky Hijikata
vs
0
Timofey Skatov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match features Rinky Hijikata facing off against Timofey Skatov in the Round of 32 of the ATP 250 tournament in Almaty, Kazakhstan. The match will be played on hard courts, where both players have had varying degrees of success. The predicted winner is Timofey Skatov, with a win probability of 51.28%, while Rinky Hijikata has a probability of 48.72%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.

Match Analysis

Rinky Hijikata currently holds a rank of 114 with a form index of 41.79 and an Elo rating of 636.65. He has accumulated 158 minutes of fatigue during this tournament, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at 6.51, indicating a moderate proficiency on hard courts. Notably, Hijikata's mean serve index of 96.41 exceeds Skatov's mean serve index of 94.24 by over 2 points, while his mean return index of 86.31 is slightly lower than Skatov's return index of 87.70, showing a competitive edge in serving but a slight disadvantage in returning. In his last three matches, Hijikata's performance has been mixed, winning one match against Jakub Paul but losing to Ugo Blanchet and James Trotter. Conversely, Timofey Skatov has shown resilience, registering a recent victory against Dalibor Svrcina and a win against Sumit Nagal, despite a setback against Andrea Pellegrino. Skatov's recent match against Svrcina lasted 129 minutes, demonstrating his capacity to endure longer matches without accumulating fatigue.

Final Prediction

Timofey Skatov has a slight edge in terms of overall match readiness due to his lower fatigue and recent performance trends. A key factor to watch during the match will be how well Hijikata can leverage his serving strength against Skatov’s returning capabilities, as this could significantly influence the outcome.

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