Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Kecmanovic enters with a significantly higher Elo (916.19) and a stronger tour ranking (69) compared with Shimabukuro (Elo 391.56, rank 141). Form indices diverge: Shimabukuro’s form index is 48.46 while Kecmanovic’s is 3.58, indicating recent match outcomes have favored Sho’s momentum despite the Elo gap. Fatigue is also a factor—Shimabukuro has logged 122 minutes on court in this tournament, whereas Kecmanovic shows 0 cumulative minutes here. Serve and return profiles are markedly different. Kecmanovic’s mean serve index (97.59) exceeds Shimabukuro’s (54.81) by roughly 42.8 points, and his mean return index (91.80) is about 28.8 points higher than Sho’s (63.00); both differences are substantial and likely influential on serve-dominated games. Surface strength indices are low for both (Sho 2.59, Miomir 8.26) but favor Kecmanovic slightly. Over the last three matches, Shimabukuro has two recent straight-set wins at Dallas (quick 61-minute matches) and a longer Australian Open loss (1–2 sets in 174 minutes). Kecmanovic’s last three recorded results are all losses (including a five-set defeat at the Australian Open and a 127-minute match in Montpellier), showing form concerns despite superior serving and returning metrics.