Sebastian Korda
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
138-100 58.0% in 238 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 12-6 | 1609 | 1870 | 1824 |
| 2025 | 38 | 21-17 | 1698 | 1763 | 1695 |
| 2024 | 47 | 29-18 | 1653 | 1959 | 1824 |
| 2023 | 34 | 19-15 | 1618 | 1856 | 1778 |
| 2022 | 48 | 28-20 | 1643 | 1835 | 1784 |
| 2021 | 35 | 20-15 | 1557 | 1798 | 1749 |
| 2020 | 11 | 8-3 | 1519 | 1769 | 1764 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0-3 | 1501 | 1464 | 1425 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1-3 | 1502 | 1499 | 1465 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Miami · Hard | Martin Landaluce | L 1-2 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 2-1 | ||
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 2-0 | ||
| Mar 04, 2026 | Indian Wells · Hard | Alex de Minaur | L 1-2 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 2-0 | ||
| Feb 16, 2026 | Delray Beach · Hard | Tommy Paul | W 2-0 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 2-0 | ||
| Casper Ruud | W 2-1 | ||
| Alex Michelsen | W 2-0 | ||
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 2-0 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Sebastian Korda?
Comparison covers 31 of the 36 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Sebastian Korda follow the script?
Wild card · 2026| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 12-6 | 44.4% | 10 vs 6.7 exp | Wild card |
| 2025 | 36 | 19-17 | 63.9% | 13 vs 14.6 exp | On serve |
| 2024 bt | 47 | 29-18 | 78.7% | 10 vs 15.9 exp | Straight sets |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Sebastian Korda's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/sebastian-korda">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)