Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Soonwoo Kwon vs Martin Landaluce: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Soonwoo Kwon

Rank: #200
14%
VS

Martin Landaluce

Rank: #59
86%
Expected Total Games: 41.0
Predicted Winner: Martin Landaluce

Why the Model Favors Martin Landaluce

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Overall strength +9.6 Martin Landaluce
Recent record by level +6.8 Martin Landaluce
Surface fit +5.3 Martin Landaluce
Age +3.3 Martin Landaluce
Recent form +3.2 Martin Landaluce

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 86% for Martin Landaluce. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network — not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Player Metrics

Soonwoo Kwon

Form Index: 55.6
ELO Rating: 1633.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1829.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.7
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 15.3
Serve Rating: 90.6
Return Rating: 93.7

Martin Landaluce

Form Index: 44.7
ELO Rating: 1696.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1725.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.6
Clay: 20.2
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Soonwoo Kwon

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Moro Canas (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Gea (2-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Martin Landaluce

  • Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-2) grass Mallorca 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (1-2) grass Halle 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tom Gentzsch (2-0) grass Halle 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marc-Andrea Huesler (2-1) grass Halle 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) grass Stuttgart 151 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Soonwoo Kwon
vs
0
Martin Landaluce
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

Wimbledon, Great Britain — Round of 128 on grass at a Grand Slam sees Soonwoo Kwon meet Martin Landaluce with contrasting trajectories. The model strongly prefers Landaluce, projecting him as the winner with an 85.57% probability to Kwon’s 14.43%, and an expected match length of about 40.99 games.

Match Analysis

The model’s edge for Martin Landaluce comes mainly from overall strength and recent results at comparable levels. Landaluce’s higher Elo (1696.5 vs Kwon’s 1633.5) and his rank (59 vs 200) feed the “overall strength” advantage. The second major driver — recent record by level — also leans to Landaluce despite mixed recent scores, reflecting the higher-level events he’s played versus Kwon’s qualifying run. Surface fit is a smaller contributor in Landaluce’s favor, though both players show low surface strength indices (Kwon 15.28, Landaluce 11.29), so neither is a grass specialist on paper. Looking at the numbers: Kwon arrives battle-hardened with a high form index (55.6) and elite return index (93.74), but he carries heavy tournament fatigue (522 minutes on court) from three long grass wins to reach this round. Landaluce has a marginally higher Elo and a strong serve index (95.09 vs Kwon’s 90.57) and arrives with zero recorded fatigue in this event. The mean return difference is notable: Kwon’s return index is roughly seven points higher than Landaluce’s (93.74 vs 86.74), which could trouble serves. Over their last three matches, Kwon is 3-0 at Wimbledon (several extended matches), while Landaluce is 1-2 recently on grass, including wins and two close losses.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 41.0 Most likely outcome: 40 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Soonwoo Kwon - Martin Landaluce) -4.6 Most likely spread: -5 (Martin Landaluce wins 5 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. Positive values indicate Soonwoo Kwon winning more games, negative values indicate Martin Landaluce winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for the fixture is 16.62 total and the expected double faults sit at 10.13. Grass typically boosts raw serving numbers, so the predicted aces reflect the surface’s favoring of big serves. Landaluce’s marginally higher serve index should slightly elevate the predicted aces, while long rallies and Kwon’s aggressive return profile help explain the expected double faults.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 16.6 Most likely: 16 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 10.1 Most likely: 10 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Soonwoo Kwon versus Martin Landaluce. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

43.9% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO5

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Soonwoo Kwon's perspective)

0-3 Most likely set score (43.9%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Soonwoo Kwon's perspective. Format: BO5.

Final Prediction

Overall strength is the top model driver for Landaluce’s heavy edge here. Watch Kwon’s fitness level — his accumulated 522 minutes of court time is the single factor most likely to swing dynamics during long exchanges.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel