Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 32

Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #5
63%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #27
37%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

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Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current #5 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #4 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #4 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #7 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #12 2024-07-01

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current #27 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #40 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #61 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #64 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #36 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 81.6
ELO Rating: 4317.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1801.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.7
Return Rating: 86.2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 77.6
ELO Rating: 1435.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Holt (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) grass Eastbourne 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (2-0) grass Eastbourne 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-1) grass Eastbourne 135 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Taylor Fritz
vs
1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at Wimbledon 2025, Taylor Fritz faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on the grass courts of Great Britain. Given Fritz's higher ranking and form, he is predicted to win with a probability of 63.30%, while Davidovich Fokina has a 36.70% chance of emerging victorious. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 5th, boasts an impressive form index of 81.56 and an Elo rating of 4317.77. His surface strength index of 44.73 suggests he performs well on grass, which complements his mean serve index of 98.74, indicating a strong serving ability. In comparison, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is ranked 27th with a form index of 77.56 and an Elo rating of 1435.17. His surface strength index is notably lower at 7.45, reflecting challenges on grass. Fritz's mean serve index exceeds Fokina's by more than 4 points, which could play a crucial role in the match dynamics. Over the last three matches, Fritz has shown resilience, winning each match in a competitive style, including a tough five-setter against Gabriel Diallo. His recent form indicates a readiness to challenge for the title. On the other hand, Davidovich Fokina has also displayed solid performances, securing victories in his last two matches, though he faced Fritz previously in Eastbourne, where he lost in two sets. This prior encounter may give Fritz a psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's combination of higher ranking, superior serve, and recent match performances positions him as the favorite in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Fritz's ability to capitalize on his serve against Davidovich Fokina's return game, as it could significantly influence the outcome of the match.

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