Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Valentin Royer Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #69
47%
VS

Valentin Royer

Rank: #88
53%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Valentin Royer

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Ranking Trends

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Current #69 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #77 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #79 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #111 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #72 2024-09-16

Valentin Royer

  • Current #88 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #114 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #121 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #197 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #213 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 20.3
ELO Rating: 642.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 85.0

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 495.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 264.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.3
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Kovacevic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-1) hard Hangzhou 163 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Charles Chen (2-0) hard Hangzhou 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Denis Shapovalov (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Darwin Blanch (1-2) hard Winston Salem 126 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Kenta Miyoshi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 89 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
vs
0
Valentin Royer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Valentin Royer is set to take place in the Round of 32 at the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, on a hard court surface. Valentin Royer is predicted to emerge victorious, holding a slight edge with a probability of 53.49% compared to Kovacevic's 46.51%. The anticipated total number of games played is 24.0, indicating a potentially competitive encounter.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Kovacevic, currently ranked 69th, boasts a form index of 20.34 and an Elo rating of 642.80. His surface strength index is relatively strong at 7.55, and he shows no signs of fatigue in this tournament. His mean serve index of 97.72 surpasses Royer's by over 5 points, which could play a significant role in his service games. However, his mean return index of 84.99 is lower than Royer's by more than 5 points, suggesting vulnerabilities in breaking serve. In contrast, Valentin Royer, ranked 88th, exhibits a form index of 47.48, which indicates better recent performance compared to Kovacevic. His Elo rating of 495.23 and a surface strength index of 3.29 reflect his capabilities, although he has accumulated 264 minutes of fatigue during the current tournament. Royer’s mean serve index of 94.90 is competitive, and his return capabilities are strong, with a mean return index of 88.56, which could give him an advantage in returning Kovacevic's serve.

Final Prediction

Valentin Royer's recent form and superior return capabilities position him as the favored player in this matchup. A critical factor to observe will be how well Kovacevic can leverage his strong serving against Royer’s effective return game, potentially determining the match's outcome.

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