Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Alan Magadan vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

Alan Magadan

Rank: #1000
25%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #71
75%
Expected Total Games: 20.0
Predicted Winner: Yunchaokete Bu

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Ranking Trends

Alan Magadan

  • Current #1000 None
  • 3 mo ago #1000 None
  • 6 mo ago #938 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #1321 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #1385 2024-07-15

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current #71 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #64 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #67 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #73 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #174 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Alan Magadan

Form Index: 41.4
ELO Rating: 65.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 253.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.6
Clay: 0.2
Grass: 0.1
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 90.4

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 5.3
ELO Rating: 625.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1508.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Alan Magadan
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mark Lajal (2-0) hard Los Cabos 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Moerani Bouzige (2-1) hard Los Cabos 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Acapulco 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Yunchaokete Bu
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Mallorca 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Henry Searle (0-2) grass London 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) clay Hamburg 88 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alan Magadan
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alan Magadan and Yunchaokete Bu takes place in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos tournament in Mexico, played on hard courts. With Yunchaokete Bu favored to win, the probability of victory is 75.48%, while Alan Magadan has a 24.52% chance. The predicted total number of games played is approximately 20.

Match Analysis

Yunchaokete Bu holds a significantly higher rank at 71 compared to Alan Magadan's rank of 1000, which underscores the disparity in their competitive standings. Bu’s Elo rating of 625.16 further enhances his profile, while Magadan's rating sits at a modest 65.18. The fatigue levels also contrast sharply, as Magadan has accumulated 253 minutes on court in the current tournament, whereas Bu starts this match with no recorded fatigue. In terms of performance metrics, there's a notable difference in the mean serve index; Bu's 96.13 exceeds Magadan's 94.12 by over 5 points, suggesting superior serving capabilities. The mean return index also reflects a slight advantage for Magadan (90.40) over Bu (86.12), although this margin is less than 5 points. Analyzing their recent matches, Magadan achieved two victories in Los Cabos, demonstrating resilience, while Bu has struggled in his last three matches, losing all and failing to win a set.

Final Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu's higher ranking, superior serve, and significantly lower fatigue level provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. Observers should closely monitor the effectiveness of Bu's serve, as it could prove pivotal in establishing control early in the contest.

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