Dayana Yastremska

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1474 · #706 Hard #160 Clay #83 Grass #33 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

170-162 51.2% in 332 matches

Clay 39-38
Grass 20-17
Hard 111-107

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 31 11-20 1660 1694 1474
2025 51 30-21 1654 1872 1723
2024 37 17-20 1577 1869 1546
2023 40 18-22 1563 1653 1561
2022 38 19-19 1579 1718 1528
2021 17 6-11 1692 1720 1617
2020 26 14-12 1682 1783 1661
2019 51 31-20 1596 1850 1770
2018 31 20-11 1531 1762 1736
2017 10 4-6 1512 1541 1484

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Lucrezia Stefanini L 1-2
Aug 23, 2026 Monterrey · Hard Janice Tjen L 1-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Tatjana Maria L 0-2
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Jessica Bouzas Maneiro L 1-2
Aoi Ito W 2-1
Jun 15, 2026 Nottingham · Grass Tatjana Maria L 0-2
Alicia Dudeney W 2-0
Jun 08, 2026 S Hertogenbosch · Grass Ajla Tomljanovic L 1-2
Sara Bejlek W 2-0
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Jasmine Paolini L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Dayana Yastremska?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 3.3 actual vs 2.7 projected
1.88 our average miss per match
2.25 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+17% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 44 of the 49 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Dayana Yastremska follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 31 11-20 54.8% 14 vs 11.2 exp On serve
2025 bt 49 28-21 61.2% 19 vs 18.8 exp On serve
2024 bt 34 15-19 58.8% 14 vs 12.7 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Dayana Yastremska's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/dayana-yastremska">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)