Maria Sakkari

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1726 · #36 Hard #36 Clay #53 Grass #37 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

260-190 57.8% in 450 matches

Clay 67-47
Grass 27-24
Hard 166-119

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 35 18-17 1612 1843 1726
2025 52 25-27 1665 1787 1685
2024 32 18-14 1878 1961 1716
2023 56 35-21 1887 1923 1845
2022 58 37-21 1938 2011 1843
2021 51 34-17 1740 2042 1920
2020 31 20-11 1682 1858 1821
2019 49 30-19 1616 1882 1803
2018 47 23-24 1608 1795 1632
2017 39 20-19 1568 1800 1758

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Yuliia Starodubtseva L 1-2
Robin Montgomery W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Iga Swiatek L 1-2
Kamilla Rakhimova W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Coco Gauff L 0-2
Zeynep Sonmez W 2-0
Jul 13, 2026 Athens · Hard Barbora Krejcikova L 0-2
Alina Korneeva W 2-0
Alycia Parks W 2-0
Harriet Dart W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Maria Sakkari?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.9 actual vs 2.9 projected
2.17 our average miss per match
2.28 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+5% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 40 of the 45 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Maria Sakkari follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 35 18-17 65.7% 12 vs 11.5 exp On serve
2025 bt 45 20-25 66.7% 15 vs 16.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 32 18-14 65.6% 11 vs 10.9 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Maria Sakkari's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/maria-sakkari">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)