Peyton Stearns

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1569 · #114 Hard #109 Clay #22 Grass #278 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

85-82 50.9% in 167 matches

Clay 29-16
Grass 3-7
Hard 53-59

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 40 21-19 1598 1737 1569
2025 38 18-20 1617 1899 1612
2024 42 21-21 1617 1783 1755
2023 40 23-17 1531 1756 1667
2022 4 1-3 1514 1556 1508
2021 3 1-2 1509 1511 1485

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Harriet Dart L 1-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Clara Tauson L 1-2
Harriet Dart W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Elena-Gabriela Ruse L 0-2
Jul 27, 2026 Memphis · Hard Elvina Kalieva L 1-2
Tatiana Prozorova W 2-0
Mary Stoiana W 2-1
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Nikola Bartunkova L 1-2
Jun 22, 2026 Eastbourne · Grass Kimberly Birrell L 0-2
Emily Appleton W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Peyton Stearns?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.8 actual vs 2.0 projected
1.61 our average miss per match
1.67 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+4% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 31 of the 36 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Peyton Stearns follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 36 19-17 58.3% 15 vs 12.8 exp On serve
2025 bt 36 16-20 52.8% 17 vs 12.8 exp Wild card
2024 bt 42 21-21 71.4% 12 vs 15.7 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Peyton Stearns's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/peyton-stearns">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)